BTC Cycle Signal Desk

Bitcoin four-year-cycle rule tracking. Context indicators do not override the signal.

Current Status

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Latest market date: --
Last update: --
BTC close--
Active halving--
Cycle day--
Day 540 date--
Day 540 distance--
Rule window0-540
Hold BTC from halving day through day 540, inclusive. Hold Cash from day 541 until the next confirmed halving.

Decision Path

why status is selected
1

Anchor The Cycle

Use active halving date --.

2

Count Cycle Days

Latest market date is --, giving cycle day --.

3

Apply Rule Window

Days 0-540 hold BTC. Day 541 and later hold Cash.

4

Check Context Only

200-week SMA, realized price, and electrical cost are informational only.

5

Final Decision

The cycle-day rule selects:

--

Recent Signal History

cycle-day rule
Date BTC close Cycle day Status Notes
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Exact Rule

  • Signal source is Bitcoin cycle day, anchored to the most recent confirmed Bitcoin halving date.
  • Hold BTC from halving day through day 540, inclusive.
  • Hold Cash from day 541 until the next confirmed halving.
  • The 200-week SMA, realized price, and estimated electrical cost are context only.

Guardrails

  • No QQQ, QLD, SPY, SSO, TQQQ, MACD, EMA, or DCA rules are part of this BTC signal.
  • Bottom-zone context can help describe the cycle, but it is not an automatic buy signal.
  • This is a rules-based tracking dashboard and is not financial advice.
Source rule: BTC Cycle Real Account Tracking System. Current 2024-cycle anchor is April 20, 2024; day 540 is October 12, 2025.