Bitcoin four-year-cycle buy-window tracking. Context indicators do not override the signal.
Current Status
Loading
Latest market date: --
Last update: --
BTC close--
Active halving--
Last buy date--
Last sell date--
Next buy date--
Next buy countdown--
Final allocation--
Cycle window active--
Day 540 distance--
Rule window-500 to +540
Buy / hold BTC from 500 days before the Bitcoin halving date through day 540 after the halving date, inclusive. Hold Cash outside that window.
Decision Path
why allocation is selected
1
Anchor The Cycle
Use active halving date --.
2
Set Last Buy Date
Last buy window started 500 days before the halving: --.
3
Set Last Sell Date
Last sell date was day 540 after the halving: --.
4
Apply Gates
Use the cycle window, MA120 defensive gate, and early-entry overlays to set final allocation.
5
Final Allocation
The full strategy selects:
--
Recent Signal History
final allocation
Date
BTC close
Cycle day
Last buy date
Last sell date
Final allocation
Notes
Loading signal history...
Exact Rule
Signal source is the Bitcoin halving date, with fixed pre-halving and post-halving day counts.
Buy / hold BTC from 500 days before the halving date through day 540 after the halving date, inclusive.
Hold Cash before the pre-halving buy date and after the day-540 sell date.
Inside the calendar cycle window, the MA120 2-up/2-down defensive gate controls whether the cycle allocation is 100% BTC or cash.
Outside the calendar cycle window, the confirmed 50-week SMA signal and daily SMA50/SMA200 golden cross remain early-entry overlays only.
Guardrails
No QQQ, QLD, SPY, SSO, TQQQ, MACD, EMA crossover, or DCA rules are part of the BTC holding-window signal.
The weekly 50-week SMA signal changes only after a completed Sunday weekly close can be used on Monday UTC.
The MA120 defensive gate requires two consecutive daily closes above MA120 to confirm risk-on, and two consecutive daily closes below MA120 to confirm defensive cash.
Bottom-zone context can help describe the cycle, but it is not an automatic buy signal.
This is a rules-based tracking dashboard and is not financial advice.